Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000213 0.000238 0.000265 0.000296 0.000331 0.000368 0.000412
2025-02-02 0.000184 0.000219 0.000259 0.000308 0.000367 0.000434 0.000518
2025-02-09 0.000158 0.000199 0.000249 0.000312 0.000393 0.000490 0.000618
2025-02-16 0.000138 0.000183 0.000239 0.000315 0.000416 0.000545 0.000722
2025-02-23 0.000121 0.000167 0.000228 0.000314 0.000433 0.000592 0.000821
2025-03-02 0.000106 0.000152 0.000215 0.000309 0.000443 0.000629 0.000909
2025-03-09 0.000094 0.000141 0.000207 0.000307 0.000457 0.000673 0.001008
2025-03-16 0.000085 0.000132 0.000200 0.000307 0.000473 0.000720 0.001117
2025-03-23 0.000078 0.000124 0.000194 0.000309 0.000490 0.000769 0.001233
2025-03-30 0.000071 0.000117 0.000188 0.000306 0.000502 0.000810 0.001339
2025-04-06 0.000066 0.000111 0.000184 0.000309 0.000519 0.000862 0.001467
2025-04-13 0.000061 0.000106 0.000179 0.000309 0.000535 0.000911 0.001593
2025-04-20 0.000055 0.000099 0.000172 0.000305 0.000543 0.000951 0.001711
2025-04-27 0.000053 0.000098 0.000175 0.000319 0.000582 0.001048 0.001940
2025-05-04 0.000050 0.000094 0.000173 0.000323 0.000606 0.001120 0.002130
2025-05-11 0.000047 0.000090 0.000170 0.000326 0.000628 0.001190 0.002325
2025-05-18 0.000044 0.000086 0.000165 0.000325 0.000642 0.001247 0.002498
2025-05-25 0.000040 0.000081 0.000159 0.000320 0.000646 0.001284 0.002637
2025-06-01 0.000037 0.000077 0.000154 0.000318 0.000658 0.001337 0.002812
2025-06-08 0.000035 0.000073 0.000151 0.000318 0.000673 0.001399 0.003011
2025-06-15 0.000033 0.000071 0.000148 0.000320 0.000691 0.001467 0.003230
2025-06-22 0.000031 0.000067 0.000144 0.000317 0.000701 0.001520 0.003420
2025-06-29 0.000029 0.000065 0.000142 0.000320 0.000721 0.001594 0.003666